NOTE: I couldn’t find the lines for the 2001 and 2002 Georgia-Florida games, and I didn’t feel like spending a ton of time looking, so my research is incomplete. But I’m sure Georgia didn’t cover those games so the point remains the same.
2003: UGA -2; #4 UGA lost 13-16 to #23 Florida. Lost, Lost ATS.
2004: UGA -6; #10 UGA won 31-24 over unranked Florida. Won, Won ATS.
2005: UGA +4; #4 UGA lost 10-14 to #16 Florida. Lost, Pushed ATS.
2006: UGA +13; unranked UGA lost 14-21 to #9 Florida. Lost, Won ATS.
2007: UGA +7; #20 UGA won 42-30 over #10 Florida. Won, Won ATS.
2008: UGA +6; #8 UGA lost 10-49 to #5 Florida. Lost, Lost ATS.
2009: UGA +14; unranked Georgia lost 14-41 to #1 Florida. Lost, Lost ATS.
2010: UGA -1: unranked Georgia lost 31-34 to unranked Florida. Lost, Lost ATS.
2011: UGA -2: #22 Georgia won 24-20 over unranked Florida. Won, Won ATS.
2012: UGA +6; #10 Georgia won 17-9 over #2 Florida. Won, Won ATS.
2013: UGA -3. Unranked Georgia won 23-20 over unranked Florida. Won, Pushed ATS.
Since 2003, Georgia is 5-6 against the Gators. Someone asked me last week how Georgia has done against the spread in Jacksonville, and I had to look back and see. Surely, we weren’t very good against Vegas.
Georgia has done better than I thought, going 5-4-2 ATS.
Including this season, Georgia has gone into Jacksonville ranked higher than the Gators on 5 occasions. In Coach Richt’s career, Georgia has gone to Jacksonville with 0 or 1 loss 7 times.
While the series won/loss record has become even in recent years, it has been pretty close ATS also.
So what does this 12 point line mean?
It means Georgia should win. Look to Vegas. That should be all the analysis we need.