Depending on the sportsbook, Georgia is listed at somewhere around a 12 point favorite over the Gators. Obviously the biggest point spread in quite sometime.
I, like many of you, had a major freak out moment on October 9 when the Gurley news broke. That date was also my wife’s birthday, and we had planned a dinner and movie date night to celebrate. My phone was constantly buzzing during Gone Girl (which, by the way, is a good movie). She finally told me to put the phone up. That was actually a good thing. I didn’t wallow in despair all night.
I had a feeling that Georgia would rally around each other and win against Missouri. I didn’t expect them to win like that, but I thought they would pull it out. I then expected Georgia to come out flat the rest of the way; Richt does his best when his teams are in a corner, but I incorrectly thought that he has finally run out of rabbits to pull out of his hat.
Another reason I felt better about Missouri heading into that game is that Vegas didn’t move the line. Georgia was in the neighborhood of -3 before the Gurley news, and stayed at -3. So that told me that Vegas knew something we all didn’t. And as they say on 960 The Ref, those Casinos just don’t build themselves.
Georgia was again in the -3 neighborhood on the road against Arkansas. I would think with Gurley, that line would have been bigger. It didn’t matter, as Georgia covered the spread with ease.
Which takes me to the Florida game. The Dawgs are laying 12.
When If the Gurley reinstatement news comes out, it will be interesting to see how the line moves.
If it jumps up, that would make sense and make me feel even better about the game.
But if it stays at 12, then it tells me one of two things. One, it would say that even without the best player in college football, Vegas thinks that the Dawgs should handle the Gators.
Or…if it still stays the same, does that mean that Vegas already knew that Gurley would be reinstated? Vegas knows. They always know.