Yesterday, I said I was changing my heart on the outcome of the Missouri game because we have Todd Gurley, and they do not.
I was reviewing the stats and box scores from last year’s game, and something I had forgotten (I have tried to forget that game as much as possible) were the amount of turnovers we had.
One fumble by Murray led to s scoop and score, right after Missouri scored a TD to go up 21-10. So just like that, it was 28-10 and the Dawgs were behind the 8 ball all day.
On the very next possession for Georgia, they put togethr a nice drive, going all the way down to Missouri 10 yard line before Brendan Douglas fumbled. Missouri then basicallly ate the clock to end the first half.
Right there, that was a 14 point swing. Georgia lost by 15.
Georgia fought back to make it 28-26 early in the 4th quarter. James Franklin got hurt, then Missouri and Pinkel made a great call to do a trick play on a WR pass for a 40 yard touchdown.
So having a year to digest everything and looking back, to over simplify things, three big plays were really the difference.
Like with any game, if Georgia can avoid turnovers and big plays we should be in good shape. If Georgia just goes out and plays its game and avoid the catastrophic moments, Georgia should win this game.
The good news is Georgia has been on the plus side of the turnovers this season. We’ve only lost 1 fumble-which was a questionable call on Michael Bennett, and for the most part with the last two games excluded, Mason has been solid protecting the football.
As bad as the secondary has been, Georgia is the only team in the SEC who hasn’t given up a passing play of 40+ yards. Georgia does rank dead last with passing plays of 20+ yards. But overall, the big plays haven’t hurt hus. For long running plays, Georgia is one of the best teams in the conference in lmiting long runs of 20+ yards, and has not given up a rushing play of 30+ yards.
If these trends can continue-not turning it over and limiting the big plays-Georgia should be in good shape Saturday.