Past results are not indicators of future performance. However, trends exist for a reason.
Georgia has not played well at Williams-Brice Stadium in a long, long time.
UGA has not scored more than 20 points in Columbia since 1994. Eric Zeier was quaterback and Ray Goff was coach
Let’s focus on more recent history and go back to the year 2000. The record is just above .500 at 4-3, and the actual games haven’t been strong performances for Georgia.
And every single time since 2000, Georgia has gone into Columbia as the higher ranked team, and each time has struggled, at least offensively. This week, Georgia will go into Columbia ranked inside the top 10, something that has happened 5 times in the last 7 visits.
Not only has the team struggled to win, but more specifically, the quarterbacks have struggled. Only one game in the past seven, a Georgia quarterback threw a passing TD. In three games offense failed to score a single touchdown: 2002, 2010, and 2012 (yes I know Malcome got a garbage TD late, but I am not counting that and you shouldn’t either).
In the 7 games in Columbia since 2000, Georgia has scored around 13 points per game. In the 3 defeats, Georgia has only managed to score around 7 points.
2000: 10th ranked Georgia lost 10-21. 0 passing TDs. The infamous “Quincy Carter 5 int” game.
2002: 9th ranked Georgia won 13-9 thanks to David Pollack. 0 passing TD and 0 offensive TD.
2004: 3rd ranked Georgia won 20-16 and needed David Greene to orchestrate a 4th quarter comeback. 2 passing TDs.
2006: 12th ranked Georgia won 18-0. A rushing touchdown from Danny Ware, a safety and 3 FGs.
2008: 2nd ranked Georgia won 14-7. One 2 point conversion on a TD from Moreno and two field goals.
2010: 22nd ranked Georgia lost to 24th ranked South Carolina 6-17. No offensive TD.
2012: 5th ranked Georgia lost to 6th ranked South Carolina 7-35. One garbage rushing TD late.
2014: 6th ranked Georgia vs. 24th ranked South Carolina. ???
I say all that to say this: I think Georgia can win Saturday. Vegas thinks so, too. I think Georgia should win Saturday. Anyone who thinks with 100% certainty that Georgia will win Saturday isn’t paying attention. This is a team that has given the Dawgs fits for a decade, in place where Georgia hasn’t played well at all.
No Georgia quarterback has played well in Columbia in recent memory. With the uncertaintity of Malcolm Mitchell and Justin Scott-Wesley, I doubt Hutson Mason will, either.
If the hype from the Clemson game is legitimate, this is a game in a place where Georgia has to win. I don’t care about style, simply escaping that horrible place with a win is all we can hope for.
However, if Georgia does in fact cover the -6 and Mason has a career day, then I am going to be a very difficult person to be around.