Archive for the 'Friday Locks' Category

TGT NFL Playoff Picks

Thought we’d give you our picks for this weekend’s playoff games. There are four very interesting games, and I can say that I am excited about all of them.

The Dirty Birds are giving 2.5 to the Packers, the Bears are giving 10 to the Seahawks, Baltimore is getting 3 from Pittsburgh, and Patriots are giving 9 to the Jets.

That said, our picks are:

kensington: Atlanta Falcons, Chicago Bears, Pittsburgh Steelers and New York Jets

corbindawg: Atlanta Falcons, Chicago Bears, Baltimore Ravens and New York Jets

barndawg: Atlanta Falcons, Chicago Bears, Pittsburgh Steelers and New England Patriots

ucheedawg: Atlanta Falcons, Seattle Seahawks, Pittsburgh Steelers and New England Patriots

lugnutdawg: Green Bay Packers (boooooo!), Chicago Bears, Baltimore Ravens and New England Patriots.

granitedawg: Atlanta Falcons, Chicago Bears, New York Jets, Pittsburgh Steelers

Go Falcons!

thegrittree

Friday Locks

It’s the final week and Uchee is closing in on Corbin.

kensingtondawg
La Tech +8
Utah State +38
Auburn -5.5

barndawg
Illinois (-5.5)
at Fresno State
Nevada (-8.5) at Louisiana Tech
annnnddddd forget Boise. Going with FSU (+4) against Va Tech.

granite
Northern Illinois
vs Miami (17.5)
UNLV at Hawaii (-34.5)
Illinois at Fresno State (5.5)

corbindawg
Arizona State @ Arizona (-5.5) Starting out in a hole this week
Northern Illinois
(-17.5) at Miami (OH)-Northern Illinois has gone 9-0-1 ATS the last ten games. They beat Eastern Michigan 71-3. I like the lone ranked team from the MAC trying to make a statement going into Ford Field.
Washington
(-6) at Washington State-Huskies are 4-1 ATS vs Washington State in their last 5 meetings. Go Huskies.

ucheedawg
Arizona State @ Arizona (-5.5)
Northern Illinois @ Miami (OH) + 17.5- miami covers the major spread n this huge MAC championship matchup. Take the points and Miami of Ohio.
Washington @ Washington State (+6)- The farmers not only cover but win this battle for the Apple Cup. Take the points and Washington State.

Turkey Week Locks

We’re nearing the end of the college football season and with it, our Friday locks.  Kensingtondawg has a commanding lead, but has still not mathematically won. But that’s why the record doesn’t count until the season’s over. This week is the in-state rivalries offers some interesting matchups.  From all of us here at The Grit Tree, we hope you have a great Thanksgiving Holiday. Our Friday Wednesday locks for Thanksgiving weekend:

Kensingtondawg (23-11-2)

Texas A &M at Texas (+3.5)

 

Miss St. at Ole Miss (+3)

 

Michigan State at Penn State (+2)

Barndawg (17-17-2)

Notre Dame at USC (PK) This doesn’t have the flair of recent games, but I think USC still has the athletes across the board to win this game. USC wins.

LSU at Arkansas (-3.5) Arkansas can throw a monkey wrench into the projected BCS matchups if they win this game.  If the win, it looks like LSU v. Boise State in the Sugar Bowl. I can’t wait for New Year’s if that is the case.  If LSU loses this game, look for a Boise vs. Ohio State matchup. Arkansas has a great offense, but I’m not betting against the Hat. LSU and the points.

Mississippi at Miss State (-2.5) Ah…the Egg Bowl. I remember a few years back when Syl Croom “upset” the Rebels for the Egg Bowl win…how times have changed.  Mullen has that spread working in Stark-vegas.  Look for the Dawgs to cover.

Granitedawg (17-19)

Ohio @ Kent State (+3.5)
Northern Illinois @ Eastern Michigan (+23.5)
Western Michigan @ Bowling Green (+6.5)

Corbindawg (16-19-1)

Auburn at Alabama (-4.5)-I wish Alabama was getting points here, but I think Nick Saban is going to have his boys ready.  Alabama has the 3rd ranked scoring defense (how about that drop off on defense?) and has only given up more than 20 points twice.  Auburn can’t stop anyone, and Alabama will score some points.  I like the Saban, Smart and the Tide’s defense.  Rammer Jammer, Yellowhammer, give ‘em hell, Alabama!

 

Kentucky at Tennessee (-3)- The next two picks are “I’ll believe them when I see it”.   I think all the pressure are on the boys in Blue.  They, like in the Georgia-Florida “rivalry” have lost a ton of games over the last two decades (25 in a row) and Tennessee has had some bad teams recently, while Kentucky has had some good teams.  Tennessee I don’t think was realistically thinking bowl game this year anyway, so if they can get a bonus win over Kentucky then the 2010 campaign has been successful.  Kentucky has squandered chances against Tennessee recently, and look for the more of the same.  Take the Vols.

Oklahoma (+2.5) at Oklahoma State-This seems like 2008 all over again.  The Cowboys for YEARS have been the “it” team and for YEARS we always hear “This is going to be Oklahoma State’s year”.  Undoubtedly, the Cowboys find a way to screw it up.  You could go with “well, it is bound to happen now.”   I’ll believe it when I see it.  Until I have concrete proof otherwise, and until someone other than Texas can win the Big 12 South, I think the Sooners win straight up-and beat Nebraska in the Big 12 Championship game BTW.

Ucheedawg (15-19-2)

Washington @ Cal (-7)

Notre Dame @ USC (-4)

Auburn @ Bama (-4.5) ROLL TIDE!

Friday Locks

This will be another great Saturday of football. SEC East is on the line, major matchups everywhere else across the country. And the story of the year, Cam Newton, is continuing to unfold. Have a great Saturday, Go Dawgs!

kensingtondawg (20-8-2)

Georgia @ Auburn (-7.5) I’m breaking an unwritten rule here, but I can’t help myself.   Auburn is distraction central right now.  No one is talking the game between Georgia and Auburn they are talking Cam Newton.  Auburn’s players also have to realize that all of the put into the season could be for nothing as serious NCAA probation could be on the horizon and forfeiture of the 2010 season.  For all the criticism I have given Mark Richt, the guy does seem to always pull out a big win once a year.  Plus, UGA has a lot to prove considering the combined record of the teams they have beaten are 13-33.  Yes, Saturday will be the day to salvage somewhat of disappointing 2010 campaign.  Dawgs upset Auburn! (but take the points just in case).

Oklahoma State at Texas (+5.5) I just have a hard time believing Texas is as bad as they are playing.  The season has been a disaster, and it appears they may not even make a bowl.  However, this a game where they can step up and make a statement.  The Cowboys lead the Big 12 South, and it’s the perfect time to show the OSU who still runs the Big 12.  Look for Texas to pull the upset, but to be safe I’ll take the points.

Iowa State at Colorado (+2.5) Dan Hawkins was fired this week so I expect the Buffalos to respond and unite.  Iowa State is playing out of their shoes.   Plus as Dawgs fan know Boulder can be a very difficult place to play.  Take the Buffalos.

barndawg (13-15-2)

Texas A&M (-3.0) at Baylor Baylor is a poor man’s Oklahoma State.  It has some skill players at a few positions and is benefitting from a down year in the Big 12 (10) South. However, they laid an egg when the lost to Texas Tech. The Aggies have got to be feeling confident.  The Shermanator switched QBs and the Aggies have won 3 straight, including an “upset” of Oklahoma.  A&M covers.

Army at Kent State (PK) Interesting stat surrounding this game: since 1963, the three service academies have all had a winning record in the same season once (1996). Its Veterans Week and Army looks to become bowl eligible. Easy pick here, Army wins.

Oregon (-19.5) at Cal
I don’t like picking games with a large spread, but this one is easy to. Oregon is AVERAGING 54.7 points a game, and their defense ain’t that bad either…Ducks cover.

granite (14-16)

Western Kentucky at Arkansas State (-12)
San Diego State at Texas Christian (-27)
Penn State (6-3) at Ohio State (-18)

corbindawg (13-16-1)

Texas A&M (-3) at Baylor Baylor has been a surprise team this year.  They are coming off a tough loss and TAMU is coming off a big win versus Oklahoma.  That is a recipe for a let down.  Go with Baylor.

Stanford (-5.5) at Arizona State I don’t care what Kensington or Phil Steele says.  I am going rouge.  I like the Cardinal baby!  Stanford wins by 3 scores.

Oregon (-19.5) at California There is never too much chalk with Oregon.  Take the Ducks.

ucheedawg (12-16-2)

Minnesota @ Illinois (-21) Minnesota has been good to me. They never win, but Vegas always gives them a ton of points and they always make hay. Take the Gophers with the points on the road.

Miami (-2.5) @ Georgia Tech The nerds have had a letdown season and are in the same boat as UGA as they search for a win to get bowl eligible. It doesn’t happen this week as Miami comes to Atlanta and takes care of business. Lay the points and take the Canes.

UGA @ Auburn (-7.5) I liked it at the beginning of the week, and I like it now. This is such an interesting game from so many levels. With all that’s gone on this week, I’m calling for Coach Mark Richt to have OUR Georgia Bulldogs ready to play on Saturday! Take the points and the Dawgs!

Have a great weekend, be safe in your travels to Alabama. Go Dawgs!

Friday Locks

Sorry for no leans on Tuesday…it was kind of a busy day for four of us (especially for one of us…we’ll touch on that later). Another great weekend of games tomorrow, headlined by Alabama-LSU and SC-Arkansas. Here are our locks for this week (no record to go by, corbin’s been MIA since Georgia-Florida; minimal write ups this week as well).

kensingtondawg

NC State @ Clemson (-3.5)

Indiana @ Michigan (-3.5)

Louisville (-6.5) @ Syracuse

ucheedawg

North Carolina State @ Clemson (-3.5) I know, folks tell us to never bet on Clemson. But they’re wrong. You can always bet on Clemson to lose silly little games they should win by 3 TD’s. You can also bet on Clemson to blow away teams that should play them tough. I’m calling for a bounce back here by our brethren from SC. Lay the 3.5 as Clemson wins by double digits.

Baylor @ Oklahoma State (-8) This is going to be a high scoring game in Stillwater, as two of the best O’s in the Big 12 are facing off in surprisingly big game. Vegas is calling the over at 73. I don’t want to touch that, but I think it will be close to a 42-38 type game. Interesting stat of the day: Oklahoma State hasn’t lost to Baylor in Stillwater since 1939. I think that just may change tomorrow. I’ll stop shy of proclaiming that Baylor will win outright, but I’ll take the 8 points and Baylor in this one, as I think this will go down to the wire.

Oklahoma (-3.5) @ Texas A&M The Fightin’ Texas Aggies played well last week against in-state rival Texas Tech. I think they’ll play Oklahoma tough for a while, but Oklahoma needs this game badly just to keep up with Baylor (yes, I said Baylor). Look for Oklahoma to pull away and win by double digits with their high powered offense. I’m laying the 3.5 and calling for Oklahoma to cover.

barndawg

Oklahoma (-3.5) @ Texas A&M

Iowa (-17.5) @ Indiana

Boston College (-3) @ Wake Forest

corbindawg

Florida (-14.5) at Vanderbilt Florida’s is refocused and now has a revamped no huddle offense.  Look for the Gators to take it to lowly Vanderbilt.  Gators cover with ease. 

Hawaii (+21) at Boise State I had success with Boise State this season.  Hawaii is having a nice season themselves.  Although it is on the Mainland, I will take the Rainbow Warriors getting 21.

Fresno State (+1) at Louisiana Tech If I am in last place, might as well go with some pasty games.  Take the point but you won’t need it, Pat Hill’s squad will win this one.

granitedawg

Nebraska (-18) @ Iowa State

Louisville @ Syracuse (-6.5)

Washington @ Oregon (-35.5)

Friday Locks

Another great slate of games on tap this weekend. Below is this weeks’ batch of locks. Go Dawgs!

kensingtondawg (10-3-2)

Alabama at South Carolina (+6.5) Every media analyst I’ve heard has already given the national title crown to the Tide for 2010 after their dominating performance over Florida.  The fact of the matter is CorbinDawg was right at the beginning of the year when he said the Gators would be down.  They are not the best team in the East.  That team is South Carolina who Bama faces Saturday.  The Gamecocks have a week off to rest up and expect Spurrier to stick with Stephen Garcia the who way Saturday.  Bama has played two dink and dunk teams in Arkansas and Florida.  They will get a big time physical matchup on Saturday, and I don’t believe they will be ready.  Gamecocks cover and will end Bama’s 28 game regular season winning streak.

Boston College (+9) at NC State Devastating loss for the Wolfpack last week against the Hokies in a game that led the whole way.  The Wolfpack have major defensive issues and which is nothing new under sad sack DC Mike Archer.  They will struggle Saturday against the Eagles.   Take Boston College and the points.

UCLA at California (-8) Despite some recent success I’m not buying into anything coached by Rick Neuheisel.  I think Cal has very good team that can score in bunches and are very alive in a quest for the Rose Bowl.  Take Cal and give the 8.

barndawg (6-8-1)

Clemson at North Carolina (-2.5) In two back to back losses, Clemson has looked good. Andre Ellington is a beast, already racking up 7 yards a carry, even though Kyle Parker has played hurt during Auburn and Miami games.  Regardless, I’ll take Clemson and the points.Interesting fact: These teams have won a combined 4 games, but 3 of their combined 5 losses have been 4 points or less, 2 of which were OT losses. I like the Irish to cover.This spread stayed the same all week– and I still like it. I thought about saving this game on DVR, until I realized Matt Millen is calling the game for ABC.This is going to be a really good game…but I think Michigan wins by 7.

Pittsburgh at Notre Dame (-6.0)

Michigan State at Michigan (4.5)

ucheedawg (5-8-2)

Temple @ Northern Illinois (-3.5) Both schools have played tough this year, but Temple has really impressed me. I am calling for the slight upset  here with Temple winning a close one, but will take the points in case.

Minnesota @ Wisconsin Ah, the Battle for Paul Bunyan’s Axe. This is one of my favorite rivalry games of the year, for whatever reason. I still feel that Minnesota has not been as bad as their record indicates. Wisconsin will win, but their style of play, coupled with the fact that Minnesota still will not give up makes me think it will be close in the 4th. I’ll take the points and the Gophers here, despite knowing that Wisconsin will keep the axe.

LSU @ Florida (-6.5) I don’t ever like picking Florida, just out of principle. BUT, this is a money-maker, because I love betting against Les Miles. LSU and UF both feature great defensive squads, and both struggle at times on offense. LSU struggles more, and I am calling for Florida to have a big bounce back week. Lay the points as the Gators cover at home.

corbindawg (5-9-1)

Auburn (-6.5) at Kentucky Staying with my lean here, I like the Tigers…surely they won’t lose to Kentucky two years in a row?  Kentucky had trouble with Florida’s offense, and I think Auburn’s offense may be in better shape than Florida’s.  Take the Tigers.

Toledo at Boise State (-36) Boise had a 42 point spread last week and covered with ease.  I think the Broncos, after seeing Oregon jump them last week, are going to cover the 36 with ease.  Although its a lot of chalk, take the Broncos on the smurf turf.

I locked in Nebraska last night at -11.5. 

granitedawg (4-11)

FSU @ Miami (-6) This game matches 2 great defenses and features a lot of speed on that side of the ball. I’ll call for the ‘Noles to pull this one out in a straight up win, but since you’re offering the points I guess I’ll take them too.

Clemson @ North Carolina (-2.5) I think UNC is a program in distress right now, and I’ve always been partial to our brethren from Clemson, so I’ll call for them to pull the ever-so-slight upset over the Tar Heels. Again, give me the points, but I won’t need them.

Arkansas @ Texas A & M (+6) I’m a fightin’ Texas Aggie and I just don’t give a……wait, sorry. I got sidetracked for a second thinking of quesadillas. Anyway, the fightin’ Texas Aggies don’t have a chance against the Hogs in the old SWC matchup. Lay the 6 and take Mallett and Co.

Friday Locks

For the second week in a row, our cellar dwellers in regards to locks have picked UGA to not only win, but cover. Here’s to hoping they get a lock correct this week. If UGA fails to cover on Saturday in Boulder, we will officially place a moratorium on corbin and granite from ever picking UGA again.

**Update: Granitedawg is taking one for the team and is dropping his UGA pick. So that leaves us with corbindawg, our #1 Dawg Fan and homer! That’s why we love him.

kensingtondawg (8-3-1)

Texas A&M (-3) @ Oklahoma State A& M got the push last night in a great game. 

Va Tech (-4) at NC State Everyone is high on NC State right now, but I’m still a little skeptical. GT has no defense, and Russell Wilson will be tested big time Saturday against Bud Foster.  Look for a big statement game from the Hokies, and they’ll cover the number.  Hokies Cover 

Penn State at Iowa (-7) Evan Royster is a little banged up, plus Iowa has the best rushing defense in the Big Ten.  The only Penn State has a chance is for a big game for Royster, which won’t happen due to Iowa’s rush defense.  Plus, Robert Bolden is not ready yet to beat any team by himself passing the football.  Iowa had a week off to get over a tough loss at Arizona.  I like the Hawkeyes big here.  Hawkeyes roll and cover. 

barndawg (6-6)

Texas A&M (-3) @ Ok State I was on the flip side of Kensington, but they pulled out a late field goal to save me. 

Kentucky (-2.5) at Ole Miss The Masoli experiment has failed so far in Oxford. Kentucky doubles the spread. 

Ga Tech at Wake Forest (-10) Paul Johnson on this week’s game: “We need to go to Winston Salem and play like our hair’s on fire.” I’m sure the girl that twirls the fire batons for the Redcoats could serve that duty for us. Jackets cover. 

ucheedawg (4-6-2)

Michigan (-10) @ Indiana (65 ½) Michigan has it’s all star QB back this week and is clicking on all cylinders offensively. I really see a lot of points getting put up here, with not much D being offered from either side. Both offenses gain a tremendous amount of yards, and I think that will equate in a lot of points. Last year, lesser offenses totaled 69 points, and I think it will be even more this year.  I’m calling for a double in this game; Michigan will cover the 10 and I’ll go with the over (65 ½) in what I think will be a Big 10 barn burner. 

Texas Tech (-7) @ Iowa State Texas Tech continues to be an interesting team to me. When Leach was HC, they were truly the most interesting team in college football to watch. Coach Tubberville has done some changing up to the crazy offense Leach used to run, which isn’t all bad. They continue to get better, and looked pretty good in a loss to Texas. Iowa State hasn’t been as terrible this year as in years past, but they’re still not a great team. TT has had two weeks to get ready for this one, and I look for Potts to have a big game. It may not be a blowout, but I look for Texas Tech to come out prepared. Lay the 7 and take the Red Raiders. 

granitedawg (3-9)

As usual, I’m too lazy to give any feedback. Not that it matters, because I’m losing your money as fast as you make it. 

byu (+5.5) @ utah state
Florida State (+7) at Virginia
UGA (-4.5) at Colorado 

Washington @ USC (-10) Lane Kiffin will go for 2, kick a field goal, and win by 11, thoroughly ticking off ucheedawg.

corbindawg (3-8-1)

UGA (-4.5) at Colorado I am a glutton for punishment.  This is Déjà Vu all over again.  Despite my lack of a true football IQ, AJ is an important part of the puzzle.  Dawgs finally live up to their potential and lay a whippin on the Buffaloes. Boise State (-43) at New Mexico State Ucheedawg is the regular Boise State lover.  I heard on 680 the Fan yesterday that College Football was like figure skating-you have to get style points while moving along.  I don’t think the Broncos should be in the National Title discussion, but they know that if they want to stay up in the polls, style points matter.  NMST is TERRIBLE and have given up large amount of points in recent weeks, so look for the Broncos to make a statement against a team that should barely be in the FBS.   

Tennessee (+16.5) at LSU While LSU probably has the superior talent and coaching (suck on that, Derek!), 16.5 is a lot of points in the SEC.  LSU is a good team, but I have 0 confidence in their offense.  I look for a 17-3 type ball game…Tennessee covers.  

the grit tree



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